ATMOS 6500

Numerical Weather Prediction

 

Fall Semester, 2013

Prof. Zhaoxia Pu

 

 

Instructor: Dr. Zhaoxia Pu

                    Office: 712 WBB

                    Tel. : (801)-585-3864

                    E-mail:  Zhaoxia.Pu@utah.edu

                    URL:     http://www.inscc.utah.edu/~pu

Lecture hours:  MW 11:50am-01:10pm

Classroom: WBB 711

Office hours:  MW 01:10pm-01:40pm

 

Course description: Solid foundation in atmospheric modeling and numerical weather prediction: numerical methods for partial differential equations, an introduction to physical parameterizations, modern data assimilation, and predictability.

 

Course goals: This course should provide you with a solid foundation in understanding modern numerical weather prediction, concentrating on basic concepts of atmospheric modeling, data assimilation, and predictability.

 

Prerequisite: Graduate standing and ATMOS 6010 (Dynamic Meteorology) or instructor's consent. 

 

Textbook:

Eugenia Kalnay, Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability, Cambridge University Press, 2003, 341pp. 

 

Reference:

Thomas Warner, Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction , Cambridge University Press, 2011, 548pp

 

Computer lab and homeworks:  There will be up to 6 major homework/lab sets. We will practice with simple models and test basic concepts with matlab. Part of the lab work will be done during the class. A brief programming tutorial (Matlab) will be offered at beginning.

 

Grading policy:

40% Homework Assignments

30% Mid-term presentation

20% Final project

10% Class and Lab Participation

Final grades are based on the following scale:

>90 % guarantees an A or A-

>80 % guarantees a B+, B, or B-

>70 % guarantees a C+, C, or C-

>60 % guarantees a D+, D, or D-

<60% results in an E

 

Lecture Topics

 

1. Introduction

       History of NWP

       NWP processes and components

2. Fundamentals of NWP models

       Governing equations

       Filtering and scaling

       Vertical coordinates

       Numerical methods to solve PDEs

       Model type, resolution and boundary conditions

3.Physical processes and parameterizations

       Subgrid-scale processes

       Overview of model parameterizations

4. Examples of regional and global models

       Community models: WRF

       NCEP GFS

5. Data assimilation

       Data source and quality control

       Optimal interpolation (OI) and objective analysis

       Variational data assimilation

       Ensemble Kalman filter

       Dynamical and physical balance in initial conditions

       Applications and future direction

6. Atmospheric predictability and ensemble forecasting

      Atmospheric predictability

      Error growth dynamics and limit of predictability

      Operational ensemble forecasting

 

Computer Lab Topics

 

   1.   Familiarization with Unix and Matlab

   2.   Solve simple PDEs

   3.   Practice numerical methods with a simple numerical model

   4.   Practice data assimilation with a sample program

 

Disabilities Act:

 

The University of Utah seeks to provide equal access to its programs, services and activities for people with disabilities. If you will need accommodations in the class, reasonable prior notice needs to be given to the Center for Disability Services, 162 Olpin Union Building, 581-5020 (V/TDD). CDS will work with you and the instructor to make arrangements for accommodations.

All written information in this course can be made available in alternative format with prior notification to the Center for Disability Services.